• Home
  • Politics
  • Can Kentucky’s Democratic governor win again? Experts say the race has clues for 2024.

Can Kentucky’s Democratic governor win again? Experts say the race has clues for 2024.

Local operatives and analysts think Kentucky’s gubernatorial campaign later this year will serve as a stress test for Democrats’ capacity to endure in GOP-dominated states since the party’s hold on the Senate and the White House depends on contests in comparably red and purple areas of the country in 2024.

First-term Governor Andy Beshear, a Democrat who narrowly defeated Republican predecessor Matt Bevin in the 2019 election by just over 5,000 votes, is running unopposed for reelection on a platform that is unattached to national issues and centered on local concerns.

Strategists claim that after four years in government, Beshear lacks some of Bevin’s flaws as a contender. Beshear, a former state attorney general whose father, a Democrat, served as governor from 2007 to 2015, has stressed his work assisting Kentucky in recovering from many natural disasters and the COVID-19 outbreak while shunning nationalistic labels.

Even his Republican detractors admit that his go-anywhere strategy enhances his credibility as an executive and a compassionate person.

“Beshear is going to be difficult to beat, and I would argue he’s probably the front-runner,” said Kentucky-based GOP strategist Scott Jennings, an adviser to Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell.

Nevertheless, Beshear’s biggest flaw, in the opinion of his rivals, is that he is a Democrat in a state where Republicans predominate at many levels of government.

The outcome of his reelection campaign, in which his Republican opponent’s identity is still unknown, may reveal the viability of candidates similar to him in elections held in Republican-friendly states like West Virginia, Ohio, and Montana next year, where Democrats are defending seats and attempting to maintain their slim Senate majority.

Should he run again as predicted, the path for President Joe Biden’s reelection in 2024 depends probably on capturing historically Republican areas like Arizona and Georgia, as he did in 2020.

Both parties are already looking for hints about the political climate for the coming year.

According to Jennings, Beshear’s surprise victory in 2019 held clues for the subsequent cycle: “I think you might be able to look in certain kinds of voter pockets and demographic pockets and see who did what. I do think some of the suburban, center right-ish, moderate-type Republicans held out against Bevin in ’19, and that was a little bit of a foreshadowing of what happened to Trump in ’20.”

“I also think that demographically, Beshear does a little better with older voters than Democrats do. That’s something that I think Biden experienced in ’20,” Jennings said.


Join Our Mailing List

    Recent Articles

    Op-Ed: China-Russia Relations are Becoming Too “Chummy” To Be Ignored

    A recent meeting between President Xi Jinping and President Vladimir Putin has put an exclamation point on their, until recently, cordial acquaintanceship. Gone were the casual remarks about admiration of each side, maybe best characterized and encapsulated in the 2001 Treaty of Good Neighborliness and friendly cooperation (which sounds like the title penned by The Simpsons’ source of puritanical emotional repression, Ned Flanders).

    Biden Awards National Arts Medal to Bruce Springsteen and More

    Tuesday, March 21st, Bruce Springsteen added the 2021 National Medal of Arts to his collection of awards. This award was presented to him by President Biden, who referred to Springsteen as “the Boss.” This award is the nation’s highest award for advancing the arts in the United States. The award marks Springsteen’s third from the White House. He previously earned a Presidential Medal of Freedom from Barack Obama along with a prestigious Kennedy Center Honor.

    McCarthy Vows to End “Omnibus” Spending Bill

    House Speaker Kevin McCarthy said the House will no longer pass “omnibus” spending bills under GOP leadership and that Republicans will return to traditional ways of working. This means passing individual spending bills to give Congress a chance to manage the government as they are a committee. 

    Desantis Criticizes Manhattan DA on Potential Trump Indictment

    Florida Governor Ron Desantis is continuing his middle path approach in staying out of the muckraking scrum when it comes to former president Donald J. Trump; even as Trump appears to be on the ropes with a potential arrest coming down the pipeline, tied to former porn star, and thorn in Trump’s side, Stormy Daniels.

    Trump Says He’s Getting Arrested: What We Know So Far

    Former President Donald Trump is expected to be arrested this week by the Manhattan District Attorney. If this arrest comes to fruition, Donald Trump would be the first former president to be indicted. He would also be the first presidential candidate to campaign while facing criminal charges.

    North Korea Claims that 800,000 Citizens Have Joined the Army to Fight Against the U.S. and South Korea

    On Saturday, March 18, North Korea claimed that about 800,000 of its citizens volunteered to join or reenlist in the nation’s military to fight against the United States. As reported by North Korea’s state newspaper, “The soaring enthusiasm of young people to join the army is a demonstration of the unshakeable will of the younger generation to mercilessly wipe out the war maniacs making last-ditch efforts to eliminate our precious socialist country, and achieve the great cause of national reunification without fail and a clear manifestation of their ardent patriotism.”

    Hey! Are you enjoying NYCTastemakers? Make sure to join our mailing list for NYCTM and never miss the chance to read all of our articles!